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Analysis & Opinion

The Pre-Tender Protocol
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

The Pre-Tender Protocol

Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

The most effective leaders in extractives treat informal signals—regulatory nuance, shifting political tone—as critical data. Their advantage lies in systematizing how this intelligence shapes commercial strategy long before a tender is drafted.

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Extractives and Ukraine's Dual Frontier
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

Extractives and Ukraine's Dual Frontier

Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

Ukraine's $486bn reconstruction and critical mineral reserves are drawing early capital. Yet, the ultimate advantage will lie with investors who are currently focused on building the foundational relationships and local consensus required for durable entry.

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China's Resource Security Plan
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

China's Resource Security Plan

Arno Saffran | 2 Minute Read

China's new mineral law creates a strategic three-layered defense system, challenging Western nations to develop equally sophisticated resource security partnerships and leadership.

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The Rise of the Critical Minerals Diplomat
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

The Rise of the Critical Minerals Diplomat

Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

For CEOs of major mining firms, strategic materials producers, and EPC companies, the key constraint on project delivery is human expertise. The ‘Critical Minerals Diplomat’ translates strategy into execution, aligns stakeholders, de-risks projects, and secures the early-stage partnerships essential to the energy transition.

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North America’s Rig Count Signals Market Shifts
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

North America’s Rig Count Signals Market Shifts

Arno Saffran | 2 Minute Read

The structural shift in the Baker Hughes rig count from oil to gas is a clear signal: BD leaders must now align their strategies and key relationships with the decade-long gas investment cycle now taking shape.

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Extractives: Before The Bid
Steven Thomas Steven Thomas

Extractives: Before The Bid

Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

In extractives, the formal tender often marks the public conclusion of a process. The true work of winning—building alignment and shaping requirements—was completed long before, in the quiet months and years of strategic engagement.

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The Russian Oil Ban Will Fail. Here’s Why That Matters.
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

The Russian Oil Ban Will Fail. Here’s Why That Matters.

⌝ Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

Sanctions have rerouted Russian crude, not eliminated it. This creates a complex market defined by new intermediaries and payment systems. For strategic deal-makers, the critical task is mapping this opaque landscape to identify both risk and opportunity.

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Reframing the LetterOne Question
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

Reframing the LetterOne Question

⌝ Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

The LetterOne-Harbour Energy stake illustrates how sophisticated energy investments are ultimately enabled by trusted relationships between operators and capital partners - alliances that can structure arrangements to meet both commercial objectives and regulatory requirements.

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Dual Approach to Energy Deals
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

Dual Approach to Energy Deals

⌝ Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

Navigating energy sector deals with a blended strategy. We examine the Strategic Collaboration Model—how industry leaders balance competitive positioning with high-stakes partnerships.

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The Decarbonisation of Finance Is Reshaping Oilfield Services
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

The Decarbonisation of Finance Is Reshaping Oilfield Services

⌝ Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

As lenders decarbonise, E&P operators face a new financial reality. The OFS sales leaders who will win are commercial strategists who can speak the language of both operational performance and emissions reduction.

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Nigeria’s Upstream Reset: Growth
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

Nigeria’s Upstream Reset: Growth

⌝ Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

Nigeria targets revenue growth through strategic upstream investments, infrastructure expansion, and fiscal incentives—positioning its energy sector for increased production and long-term profitability by 2026.

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Energy Deals Hinge on Local Realities
Arno Saffran Arno Saffran

Energy Deals Hinge on Local Realities

⌝ Arno Saffran | 5 Minute Read

In Iraq's crucial energy zones, foreign companies seeking lucrative deals must navigate a complex tapestry of tribal loyalties, political influence, and financial labyrinths that defy standard business playbooks.

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